Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5

Aug 31, 2022 at 6pm UK

Stade Louis II

Monaco
2 - 4
Troyes

Maripan (10'), Fofana (63')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Tardieu (22' pen.), Odobert (45+2'), Balde (48'), Salmier (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

Last Six:

Last Game: PSG 1-1 Monaco
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Nantes	4	1	5
12	Monaco	4	-2	5
13	Rennes	4	-1	4

Troyes

Last Six:

Last Game: Troyes 3-1 Angers
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Brest	4	-6	4
15	Troyes	4	-5	3
16	Strasbourg	4	-2	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 69.78%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 11.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Troyes
69.78% ( -0.01)	18.54% ( 0.01)	11.67% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 46.81% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.77% (

44.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.39% (

66.61%

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.5% (

-0)

11.5% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.63% (

-0.01)

36.36% (

0.01)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.9% (

0.02)

47.1% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.43% (

0.01)

82.56% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Monaco 69.77%

Troyes 11.67%

Draw 18.54%

Monaco	Draw	Troyes
2-0 @ 12.66% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.71% 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0) 3-0 @ 9.14% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.88% 4-0 @ 4.94% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.72% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.14% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.45% Total : 69.77%	1-1 @ 8.82% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.42% 2-2 @ 3.59% ( 0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 18.54%	0-1 @ 4.08% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.32% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.54% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 11.67%