MX23RW : Wednesday, April 2 20:16:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stade Louis II
Troyes

Monaco
2 - 4
Troyes

Maripan (10'), Fofana (63')
Maripan (21'), Aguilar (48')
Maripan (44')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Tardieu (22' pen.), Odobert (45+2'), Balde (48'), Salmier (78')
Palmer-Brown (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 1-1 Monaco
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 3-1 Angers
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 3-1 Troyes

Even with five at the back, Troyes have rarely looked comfortable defending this season, and we expect them to have a hard time containing a dynamic Monegasque attack who have plenty of offensive punch. Monaco have won the last five contests against ESTAC and have never lost to them at Louis II, scoring eight goals in their previous three home outings versus Troyes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 69.78%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 11.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
MonacoDrawTroyes
69.78% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01) 18.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 11.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.81% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.77% (0.0020000000000024 0)44.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.39% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.61%
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.5% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)11.5% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.63% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)36.36% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.9% (0.018000000000001 0.02)47.1% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.43% (0.013000000000002 0.01)82.56% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 69.77%
    Troyes 11.67%
    Draw 18.54%
MonacoDrawTroyes
2-0 @ 12.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 11.71%
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 9.14% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.88%
4-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
4-1 @ 3.72% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 69.77%
1-1 @ 8.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.42%
2-2 @ 3.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 18.54%
0-1 @ 4.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 3.32% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-2 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 11.67%

How you voted: Monaco vs Troyes

Monaco
Draw
Troyes
Monaco
75.6%
Draw
22.0%
Troyes
2.4%
41
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Monaco
2-1
Troyes
Henrique (19'), Volland (57')
Aguilar (22'), Ben Yedder (71')
Ugbo (39')
Biancone (72'), Kouame (81')
Aug 29, 2021 12pm
Troyes
1-2
Monaco
Aguilar (51' og.)
El Hajjam (68')
Diop (40', 58')
Maripan (28'), Tchouameni (48')
May 19, 2018 8pm
Troyes
0-3
Monaco

Herelle (68')
Lopes (22', 71'), Mboula (90')
Lopes (89')
Dec 9, 2017 7pm
Monaco
3-2
Troyes
Deplagne (70' og.), Carrillo (85', 88')
Glik (21'), Jorge (42'), Fabinho (72'), Falcao (72'), Carrillo (72')
Hyun-Jun (25', 50')
Hyun-Jun (7'), Darbion (64'), Herelle (72')
Feb 20, 2016 7pm
Monaco
3-1
Troyes
Carrillo (25', 38'), Mbappe (93')
Toulalan (43'), Bakayoko (83')
Gueye (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG27225079265371
2MonacoMonaco27155753332050
3Marseille27154854361849
4Nice27138651331847
5Lille27138641281347
6StrasbourgStrasbourg27137745351046
7Lyon27136852371545
8Brest27124114242040
9Lens27116103130139
10Auxerre2798103839-135
11Toulouse2797113533234
12Rennes27102153837132
13NantesNantes2769123146-1527
14Angers2776142645-1927
15Reims2768132941-1226
16Le HavreLe Havre2773172957-2824
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2655162663-3720
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2643192160-3915


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