Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 61.15%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 20.31% and a draw had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (5.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.