Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 54.8%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (6.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.