Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 67.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.68% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 3-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%) , while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.