Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.44%) and 0-2 (5.39%). The likeliest Willem II win was 2-1 (8.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.