Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 51.28%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 3-1 (6.63%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (6.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.