Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.63%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.