Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 58.03%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 21.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 0-1 (7.5%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 2-1 (5.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
TOP Oss	Draw	De Graafschap
21.34% ( 0.12)	20.62% ( 0.22)	58.03% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 62.05% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.92% (

-0.9)

35.08% (

0.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.92% (

-1.01)

57.08% (

1.02)

TOP Oss Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.49% (

-0.41)

29.51% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.48% (

-0.51)

65.52% (

0.51)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.03% (

-0.38)

11.97% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.62% (

-0.81)

37.38% (

0.81)

Score Analysis

TOP Oss 21.34%

De Graafschap 58.03%

Draw 20.63%

TOP Oss	Draw	De Graafschap
2-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 21.34%	1-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.63%	1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 6.87% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 5.63% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 3.65% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 2.23% ( -0.08) 1-5 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) 2-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.64% Total : 58.03%