Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 65.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for TOP Oss had a probability of 14.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a TOP Oss win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.