Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 77.32%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for TOP Oss had a probability of 7.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.04%) and 1-0 (10.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a TOP Oss win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.