Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 55.43%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 23.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.77%) and 0-1 (7.66%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.