VVV-Venlo
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 18
Dec 8, 2023 at 7pm UK
Covebo Stadion - De Koel

VVV-Venlo
3 - 1
Dordrecht

Kosidis (39'), Ketting (53'), Smans (90+4')
Smans (4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
't Zand (32')
Aberkane (58'), Tsoungui (64'), van den Avert (90+4')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between VVV-Venlo and Dordrecht.

Form, Standings, Stats

VVV-Venlo

All competitions
Last Game: Groningen 2-1 VVV-Venlo
Friday, December 1 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Dordrecht

All competitions
Last Game: De Graafschap 1-1 Dordrecht
Monday, December 4 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.

Result
VVV-VenloDrawDordrecht
44.18% (0.013999999999996 0.01)23.68% (0.016999999999999 0.02)32.14% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 61.37% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.53% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)40.46% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.15% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)62.84% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
VVV-Venlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.38% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)18.62% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.08% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)49.92% (0.055 0.05)
Dordrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.41% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)24.58% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.92% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)59.07% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    VVV-Venlo 44.18%
    Dordrecht 32.14%
    Draw 23.67%
VVV-VenloDrawDordrecht
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.69% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.47% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.62% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 44.18%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.58% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 7.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.42% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 32.14%

Head to Head
Feb 17, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 25
Dordrecht
1-2
VVV-Venlo
Longo (90+2')
Dekker (83'), Jansson (90+3')
Oct 14, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 11
VVV-Venlo
0-1
Dordrecht
Balde (39')
Jan 30, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 24
VVV-Venlo
4-2
Dordrecht
Venema (29'), El Azrak (58'), Schroyen (88'), Braken (90+1')
de Boer (24'), El Azrak (73'), van Dijck (77'), Munsters (89')
Agrafiotis (68'), N'Diaye (79')
Mannes (47'), van Huizen (73'), Zehir (73'), Miceli (86'), N'Diaye (89')
Sep 5, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 5
Dordrecht
0-1
VVV-Venlo

Holscher (56'), van den Avert (59'), Donkor (89')
Smans (43')
Hupperts (71')