Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
VVV-Venlo	Draw	Jong AZ
48.87% ( -0.13)	23.57% ( 0.01)	27.56% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 58.84% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.46% (

0.06)

42.54% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.06% (

0.06)

64.94% (

-0.06)

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.43% (

-0.02)

17.56% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.89% (

-0.05)

48.11% (

0.05)

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.37% (

0.12)

28.62% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.57% (

0.15)

64.43% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

VVV-Venlo 48.87%

Jong AZ 27.56%

Draw 23.56%

VVV-Venlo	Draw	Jong AZ
2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 3.82% Total : 48.87%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.56%	1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 27.56%