Eerste Divisie Gameweek 8
Sep 29, 2023 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT AFAS Trainingscomplex
  • Dave Kwakman 88' yellowcard
  • goal Max Svensson 5'
  • goal Jesse Bosch 67'
  • yellowcard Tommy St Jago 86'

Jong AZ vs Willem II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jong AZ

All competitions
Last game
Sep 22, 2023 7.00pm
Dordrecht 0 - 0 Jong AZ
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Ernest Poku

Willem II

All competitions
Last game
Sep 17, 2023 3.45pm
Cambuur 1 - 0 Willem II
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Jeredy Hilterman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result

Jong AZ 29.94% (-0.17)
Draw 24.29% (-0.02)
Willem II 45.76% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.03% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.65% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 44.36% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 33.27% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 66.73% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 16.99% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 83.01%

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5 72.11% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 27.89% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 36.5% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 63.5% (+0.15)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5 80.48% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 19.52% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 48.58% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 51.42% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Jong AZ 29.95%
Draw 24.29%
Willem II 45.76%
Jong AZ
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 6.95% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.44% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.09% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.89% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 29.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.45% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.29%
Willem II
1-2 @ 9.28% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.9% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.27% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.05% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.96% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.23% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.06% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.62% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.32% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 45.76%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie Gameweek 27
Mar 6, 2023 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Jurre van Aken 55' goal
  • Jayden Addai 90'+1' goal
  • goal Elton Kabangu 7'
  • goal Jizz Hornkamp 20'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 7
Sep 16, 2022 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Pol Llonch 81' goal