ADO Den Haag
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Cars Jeans Stadion

ADO Den Haag
4 - 1
Jong AZ

van der Sande (24', 49'), Waem (40', 54')
van Ewijk (59')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Addai (4')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between ADO Den Haag and Jong AZ.

Form, Standings, Stats

ADO Den Haag

All competitions
Last Game: Den Bosch 1-2 ADO Den Haag
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Jong AZ

All competitions
Last Game: Jong AZ 3-1 Telstar
Monday, August 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.

Result
ADO Den HaagDrawJong AZ
40.5% (0.244 0.24)25.44% (-0.168 -0.17)34.06% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 55.83% (0.56 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.02% (0.729 0.73)47.98% (-0.72300000000001 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.85% (0.669 0.67)70.15% (-0.66200000000001 -0.66)
ADO Den Haag Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.52% (0.45 0.45)23.48% (-0.444 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.5% (0.643 0.64)57.5% (-0.637 -0.64)
Jong AZ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96% (0.31 0.31)27.04% (-0.304 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6% (0.404 0.4)62.4% (-0.397 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    ADO Den Haag 40.5%
    Jong AZ 34.06%
    Draw 25.43%
ADO Den HaagDrawJong AZ
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.67% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.072 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 40.5%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.35% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-2 @ 7.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 5.43% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.43% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.054 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 34.06%

Head to Head
May 19, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 38
Jong AZ
0-2
ADO Den Haag
Verheydt (32'), Zwarts (89')
Absalem (81')
Sep 9, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 6
ADO Den Haag
2-2
Jong AZ
Zwarts (29'), Catic (90')
Allouch (55'), Buurmeester (83')
Apr 15, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 35
Jong AZ
0-1
ADO Den Haag

Milos (79')
Verheydt (67')
Asante (37')
Dec 10, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 19
ADO Den Haag
3-2
Jong AZ
Verheydt (23', 49' pen.), Steijn (51')
Steijn (90+1')
Buurmeester (26'), Griffith (42')