Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.19%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.