VVV-Venlo
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 35
Apr 28, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Koel

VVV-Venlo
0 - 1
Jong Ajax

FT(HT: 0-0)
Hlynsson (83' pen.)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between VVV-Venlo and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Telstar 1-0 VVV-Venlo
Friday, April 21 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Utrecht 1-0 Jong Ajax
Monday, April 24 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 58.05%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 22.03% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.04%) and 3-1 (7.02%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
VVV-VenloDrawJong Ajax
58.05% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)19.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)22.03% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 65.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.36% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)30.64% (0.026 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.04% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)51.96% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
VVV-Venlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.42% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)10.58% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.65% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)34.35% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.36% (0.0059999999999967 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.49% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)61.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    VVV-Venlo 58.05%
    Jong Ajax 22.03%
    Draw 19.92%
VVV-VenloDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 7.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 6.27% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 4.68% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
4-1 @ 3.94% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 2.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 58.05%
1-1 @ 8.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 2.79% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 19.92%
1-2 @ 5.57% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-1 @ 3.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 2.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 22.03%

How you voted: VVV-Venlo vs Jong Ajax

VVV-Venlo
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Jong Ajax
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2022 7pm
gameweek 12
Jong Ajax
1-1
VVV-Venlo
Rasmussen (31')
Milovanovic (49')
Braken (29')
Apr 25, 2022 7pm
gameweek 36
Jong Ajax
6-1
VVV-Venlo
Kudus (22'), Unuvar (52', 80' pen.), Ihattaren (58', 62', 68')
Schroyen (23')
Hussein Ngobi (27'), El Azrak (64')
Nov 5, 2021 7pm
gameweek 14
VVV-Venlo
1-3
Jong Ajax
Van Rooijen (53')
Koglin (66'), Pachonik (71')
Taylor (4'), Unuvar (62'), Danilo (72' pen.)
Rensch (85'), Gorter (87'), Douglas (90+5')
Rensch (86')