Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 32

Apr 7, 2023 at 7pm UK

Rabobank IJmond Stadion

Telstar
2 - 3
Jong Ajax

Plet (72', 90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Martha (28'), Fitz-Jim (57'), Misehouy (77')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Telstar and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Telstar

All competitions

Last Game: ADO Den Haag 3-1 Telstar
Friday, March 31 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Jong Ajax

All competitions

Last Game: Jong Ajax 4-1 Dordrecht
Monday, April 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Telstar	Draw	Jong Ajax
50.62% ( 0.39)	22.45% ( -0.15)	26.92% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 62.26% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.22% (

0.49)

37.78% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.97% (

0.52)

60.03% (

-0.52)

Telstar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.83% (

0.31)

15.17% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.22% (

0.58)

43.77% (

-0.59)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.39% (

0.08)

26.61% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.16% (

0.11)

61.83% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Telstar 50.62%

Jong Ajax 26.92%

Draw 22.44%

Telstar	Draw	Jong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.02% Total : 50.62%	1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.44%	1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 26.92%