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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 32
Apr 7, 2023 at 7pm UK
Rabobank IJmond Stadion

Telstar
2 - 3
Jong Ajax

Plet (72', 90+5')
Apau (39'), Soares (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martha (28'), Fitz-Jim (57'), Misehouy (77')
Fitz-Jim (45+2'), Martha (55'), de Graaff (87')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Telstar and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: ADO Den Haag 3-1 Telstar
Friday, March 31 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 4-1 Dordrecht
Monday, April 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
TelstarDrawJong Ajax
50.62% (0.393 0.39) 22.45% (-0.146 -0.15) 26.92% (-0.246 -0.25)
Both teams to score 62.26% (0.295 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.22% (0.489 0.49)37.78% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.97% (0.521 0.52)60.03% (-0.521 -0.52)
Telstar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.83% (0.31099999999999 0.31)15.17% (-0.312 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.22% (0.584 0.58)43.77% (-0.585 -0.59)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.39% (0.079999999999998 0.08)26.61% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.16% (0.107 0.11)61.83% (-0.107 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Telstar 50.62%
    Jong Ajax 26.92%
    Draw 22.44%
TelstarDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.51% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.96% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.13% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.87% (0.046 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 50.62%
1-1 @ 10.07% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.29% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.04% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.44%
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-1 @ 5.34% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 26.92%

Head to Head
Aug 8, 2022 7pm
Jong Ajax
1-1
Telstar
Conceicao (41')
Warmerdam (25'), Pierie (78')
Blommestijn (3')
Overtoom (57'), Najah (77'), Blommestijn (80')
Jan 23, 2022 1.30pm
Telstar
1-0
Jong Ajax
Smit (26')
Tugarinov (45+1'), Aktas (59'), Vlijter (69'), van Velzen (90+7')

Yah (72'), Banel (88')
Nov 1, 2021 7pm
May 12, 2021 7pm
Telstar
1-2
Jong Ajax
Bronkhorst (48')
Vandermeulen (20')
Van Mieghem (42'), Van Gelderen (59')
Fitz-Jim (45+5'), Douglas (68')
Dec 21, 2020 8pm
Jong Ajax
1-2
Telstar
Martha (11')
Musampa (30'), Baas (43')
Bande (48')
Fernandes (54'), Van Wetten (84')
Najah (45+1'), Bronkhorst (58')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior19115338191938
2FC VolendamVolendam19114442241837
3Dordrecht1910543426835
4EmmenEmmen1995532211132
5Cambuur19102728171132
6De GraafschapDe Graafschap1995540301032
7Helmond SportHelmond199462827131
8Den BoschDen Bosch198653122930
9Roda JC198652524130
10ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag197753225728
11TelstarTelstar196853024626
12FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven197482530-525
13TOP OssOss195771632-1622
14MVV MaastrichtMVV194872531-620
15Jong AZJong AZ1954103138-719
16Jong AjaxJong Ajax194692024-418
17Jong PSVJong PSV1953112735-818
18VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo1943121735-1815
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht1917111638-2210
20Vitesse194782439-15-8


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