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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2023 at 7pm UK
Jan Louwers Stadion

FC Eindhoven
5 - 1
Jong Ajax

Amevor (22'), Rottier (35'), van Doorm (64'), Dahlhaus (76'), Sanoh (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hlynsson (31')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between FC Eindhoven and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Telstar 0-1 FC Eindhoven
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 1-2 Oss
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 49.69%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
FC EindhovenDrawJong Ajax
49.69% (-0.125 -0.13) 23.09% (0.0030000000000001 0) 27.22% (0.125 0.13)
Both teams to score 60.24% (0.108 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.43% (0.093999999999994 0.09)40.56% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.05% (0.096000000000004 0.1)62.94% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
FC Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)16.52% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.74% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)46.26% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.15% (0.139 0.14)27.84% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.55% (0.175 0.18)63.44% (-0.172 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    FC Eindhoven 49.69%
    Jong Ajax 27.22%
    Draw 23.08%
FC EindhovenDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.28% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.48% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.66% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 49.69%
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.08%
1-2 @ 6.77% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 27.22%

How you voted: FC Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax

FC Eindhoven
70.0%
Draw
30.0%
Jong Ajax
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2023 7pm
Jong Ajax
1-1
FC Eindhoven
Banel (86')
Warmerdam (58')
Rottier (47')
Mar 18, 2022 7pm
Jong Ajax
2-2
FC Eindhoven
Danilo (37' pen.), Hansen (82')
Hansen (53'), Llansana (66')
Sleegers (12'), Van der Sande (46')
Oct 22, 2021 7pm
FC Eindhoven
1-3
Jong Ajax
Racz (90+3')
Sleegers (52'), Amevor (90+5')
Amevor (90+5')
Jensen (38', 90+1'), Taylor (41')
Martha (58'), Baas (60')
Apr 16, 2021 7pm
FC Eindhoven
3-0
Jong Ajax
Pozo (56'), Peijnenburg (63'), Donkor (90')
Seedorf (5'), Peijnenburg (76'), van Kleef (87')

Rasmussen (18')
Dec 7, 2020 5.45pm
Jong Ajax
1-1
FC Eindhoven
Rensch (34')
Regeer (45')
Van Kleef (90' pen.)
Peijnenburg (41'), van Son (60'), De Keersmaecker (63')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior19115338191938
2FC VolendamVolendam19114442241837
3Dordrecht1910543426835
4EmmenEmmen1995532211132
5Cambuur19102728171132
6De GraafschapDe Graafschap1995540301032
7Helmond SportHelmond199462827131
8Den BoschDen Bosch198653122930
9Roda JC198652524130
10ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag197753225728
11TelstarTelstar196853024626
12FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven197482530-525
13TOP OssOss195771632-1622
14MVV MaastrichtMVV194872531-620
15Jong AZJong AZ1954103138-719
16Jong AjaxJong Ajax194692024-418
17Jong PSVJong PSV1953112735-818
18VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo1943121735-1815
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht1917111638-2210
20Vitesse194782439-15-8


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