Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 26

Feb 24, 2023 at 7pm UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
2 - 1
Jong Ajax

Heerkens (11'), Svensson (25')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Hlynsson (45+1')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Willem II and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions

Last Game: Heracles 1-1 Willem II
Friday, February 17 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Jong Ajax

All competitions

Last Game: Jong Ajax 4-2 MVV
Monday, February 20 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 69.6%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 12.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Jong Ajax win it was 0-1 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
Willem II	Draw	Jong Ajax
69.6% ( 0.02)	17.96% ( -0)	12.44% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 51.32% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.44% (

-0.01)

39.57% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.09% (

-0.01)

61.91% (

0.01)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.75% (

10.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.39% (

33.61%

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.19% (

-0.02)

42.81% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.87% (

-0.01)

79.13% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Willem II 69.59%

Jong Ajax 12.44%

Draw 17.96%

Willem II	Draw	Jong Ajax
2-0 @ 11.38% 1-0 @ 10% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.33% 4-0 @ 4.92% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.24% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0) Other @ 4.46% Total : 69.59%	1-1 @ 8.48% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 17.96%	0-1 @ 3.73% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.6% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.58% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 1.36% Total : 12.44%