Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.6%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.