Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 37.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.55%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.