Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for TOP Oss had a probability of 17.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.73%) and 0-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a TOP Oss win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.