Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.