Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
TOP Oss	Draw	Willem II
35.43% ( -0.23)	25.51% ( 0.03)	39.07% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 55.85% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.94% (

-0.16)

48.07% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.77% (

-0.15)

70.23% (

0.15)

TOP Oss Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.74% (

-0.21)

26.27% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.62% (

-0.28)

61.38% (

0.28)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.74% (

0.03)

24.26% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.39% (

0.04)

58.62% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

TOP Oss 35.43%

Willem II 39.07%

Draw 25.5%

TOP Oss	Draw	Willem II
1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.28% Total : 35.43%	1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 39.07%