Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 7

Sep 16, 2022 at 7pm UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
1 - 0
Jong AZ

Llonch (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Willem II and Jong AZ.

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

Last Six:

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-2 Willem II
Friday, September 9 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	NAC Breda	7	0	11
9	Willem II	6	1	9
10	MVV Maastricht	6	-3	8

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 20.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Willem II in this match.

Result
Willem II	Draw	Jong AZ
57.26% ( 0.42)	22.2% ( -0.11)	20.55% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 55.2% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.48% (

0.05)

43.52% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.09% (

0.05)

65.91% (

-0.05)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.03% (

0.15)

14.96% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.61% (

0.29)

43.39% (

-0.3)

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.92% (

-0.29)

35.08% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.17% (

-0.3)

71.83% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Willem II 57.26%

Jong AZ 20.55%

Draw 22.19%

Willem II	Draw	Jong AZ
1-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.72% Total : 57.26%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.19%	0-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.97% Total : 20.55%