Eerste Divisie Gameweek 7
Sep 16, 2022 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Pol Llonch 81' goal

Willem II vs Jong AZ - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions
Last game
Sep 9, 2022 7.00pm
PEC Zwolle 2 - 2 Willem II
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Elton Kabangu

Jong AZ

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2022 7.00pm
Jong AZ 2 - 3 PEC Zwolle
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Yusuf Barasi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 20.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Willem II in this match.

Result

Willem II 57.26% (+0.43)
Draw 22.2% (-0.11)
Jong AZ 20.55% (-0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.2% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.48% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 43.52% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 34.09% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 65.91% (-0.06)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5 85.03% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 14.96% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 56.61% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 43.39% (-0.30)

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5 64.92% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 35.08% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 28.17% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 71.83% (+0.30)

Score analysis

Willem II 57.26%
Draw 22.19%
Jong AZ 20.55%
Willem II
1-0 @ 9.97% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.92% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.47% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 6.28% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 6% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.98% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 2.85% (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.56% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.13% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.08% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 57.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 5.25% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.19%
Jong AZ
0-1 @ 5.5% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 5.47% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.88% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.91% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 20.55%