Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Willem II	Draw	Jong PSV
51.22% ( 0)	23.55% ( -0.02)	25.23% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 56.75% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.68% (

0.12)

44.32% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.3% (

0.11)

66.69% (

-0.11)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.65% (

0.05)

17.35% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.26% (

0.08)

47.74% (

-0.08)

Jong PSV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.66% (

0.08)

31.33% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.3% (

0.09)

67.69% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Willem II 51.22%

Jong PSV 25.23%

Draw 23.55%

Willem II	Draw	Jong PSV
2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.84% Total : 51.22%	1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.55%	1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 25.23%