Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.