Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.