Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 8
Sep 12, 2022 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion
PEC Zwolle

Jong AZ
2 - 3
PEC Zwolle

Barasi (36' pen.), Griffith (48')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stam (24' og.), Taha (61'), Huiberts (67')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong AZ and PEC Zwolle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 53.34%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.22%) and 0-1 (7.2%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.

Result
Jong AZDrawPEC Zwolle
25.05% (-0.144 -0.14)21.6% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)53.34% (0.181 0.18)
Both teams to score 63.46% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.61% (0.043999999999997 0.04)35.39% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.58% (0.051000000000002 0.05)57.42% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Jong AZ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (-0.080999999999989 -0.08)26.68% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (-0.107 -0.11)61.93% (0.104 0.1)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.55% (0.070000000000007 0.07)13.44% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.58% (0.144 0.14)40.41% (-0.149 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Jong AZ 25.05%
    PEC Zwolle 53.34%
    Draw 21.6%
Jong AZDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 6.28% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-0 @ 4.74% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.13% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.77% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 25.05%
1-1 @ 9.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.6%
1-2 @ 9.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.22% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.2% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 6.38% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.83% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 4.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 3.2% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.42% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.12% (0.008 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.29% (0.011 0.01)
0-5 @ 0.97% (0.011 0.01)
3-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 53.34%

How you voted: Jong AZ vs PEC Zwolle

Jong AZ
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
PEC Zwolle
60.0%
10