PEC Zwolle
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2022 at 11.15am UK
MAC³PARK Stadion
De Graafschap

PEC Zwolle
2 - 1
De Graafschap

van den Belt (34'), Vellios (78')
Kastaneer (76'), van den Belt (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Benschop (76')
Schenk (55'), Bouihrouchane (55')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between PEC Zwolle and De Graafschap.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for PEC Zwolle in this match.

Result
PEC ZwolleDrawDe Graafschap
41.02% (-0.141 -0.14)24.98% (-0.114 -0.11)34% (0.255 0.26)
Both teams to score 57.38% (0.458 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.04% (0.57 0.57)45.96% (-0.57 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.73% (0.536 0.54)68.26% (-0.53700000000001 -0.54)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (0.178 0.18)22.34% (-0.179 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (0.267 0.27)55.82% (-0.268 -0.27)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88% (0.423 0.42)26.11% (-0.424 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.82% (0.567 0.57)61.17% (-0.569 -0.57)
Score Analysis
    PEC Zwolle 41.02%
    De Graafschap 34%
    Draw 24.97%
PEC ZwolleDrawDe Graafschap
2-1 @ 8.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.55% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 41.02%
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.063 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.83% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.97%
1-2 @ 7.88% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.83% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.26% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.061 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 34%

Head to Head
Feb 23, 2019 6.45pm
Dec 1, 2018 6.45pm
De Graafschap
0-2
PEC Zwolle

Bakker (17'), Olijve (33'), El Jebli (33'), Jurjus (78')
Nieuwpoort (18')
Leemans (14'), Namli (75')
Lam (2'), Leemans (29'), van Crooij (33')
Mar 5, 2016 5.30pm
Aug 15, 2015 5.30pm