Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

May 11, 2022 at 7pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
2 - 0
PEC Zwolle

Auassar (3'), van Crooij (24')
Abels (57'), Thy (63')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Clement (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

Last Six:

Last Game: Heracles 1-3 Sparta
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Heracles	33	-14	34
15	Sparta Rotterdam	33	-20	32
16	Fortuna Sittard	33	-32	32

PEC Zwolle

Last Six:

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 PSV
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Fortuna Sittard	33	-32	32
17	Willem II	33	-28	30
18	PEC Zwolle	33	-25	27

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	PEC Zwolle
43.83% ( 0.94)	25.31% ( -0.3)	30.85% ( -0.64)

Both teams to score 55.1% (

0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.58% (

1.05)

48.41% (

-1.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.45% (

0.95)

70.55% (

-0.96)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.94% (

0.9)

22.05% (

-0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.6% (

1.34)

55.39% (

-1.35)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.69% (

0.09)

29.31% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.72% (

0.12)

65.28% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 43.83%

PEC Zwolle 30.85%

Draw 25.31%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	PEC Zwolle
1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.33% Total : 43.83%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.85%