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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
| 11 | Groningen | 33 | -13 | 36 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 33 | -18 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
| 15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
| 16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 54.1% | 25.25% | 20.65% |
| Both teams to score 46.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.29% | 55.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.14% | 76.85% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.39% | 20.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.85% | 53.15% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.04% | 41.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.6% | 78.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 1-0 @ 13.65% 2-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 9.37% 3-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 4.93% 4-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.95% Other @ 3.34% Total : 54.09% | 1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 8.64% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.68% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.51% 1-2 @ 5.15% 0-2 @ 3.26% 1-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.18% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.11% Total : 20.65% |