Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.