Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 5

Sep 2, 2022 at 7pm UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
1 - 0
ADO Den Haag

Asante (53' og.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Esajas (86')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Willem II and ADO Den Haag.

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

Last Six:

Last Game: Jong Utrecht 0-0 Willem II
Monday, August 29 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Almere City	4	1	6
10	Willem II	4	0	5
11	Jong Ajax	4	-1	4

ADO Den Haag

Last Six:

Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-0 Jong Ajax
Sunday, August 28 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	TOP Oss	4	-2	3
17	ADO Den Haag	4	-4	3
18	Den Bosch	4	-5	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
Willem II	Draw	ADO Den Haag
45.61% ( -0.06)	24.46% ( -0.09)	29.93% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 57.44% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.88% (

0.5)

45.12% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.53% (

0.48)

67.47% (

-0.47)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.1% (

0.18)

19.9% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.97% (

0.29)

52.03% (

-0.28)

ADO Den Haag Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.71% (

0.35)

28.29% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.99% (

0.44)

64.01% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Willem II 45.61%

ADO Den Haag 29.93%

Draw 24.46%

Willem II	Draw	ADO Den Haag
2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.96% Total : 45.61%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.46%	1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.93%