Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 54.29%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.