ADO Den Haag
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 at 11.15am UK
 

ADO Den Haag
4 - 0
Jong Ajax

Zwarts (2'), Severina (38', 60'), de Waal (48')
Asante (19'), Zwarts (60')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between ADO Den Haag and Jong Ajax.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 54.29%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.

Result
ADO Den HaagDrawJong Ajax
54.29% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)21.98% (0.303 0.3)23.72% (-0.247 -0.25)
Both teams to score 60.45% (-1.422 -1.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.35% (-1.732 -1.73)38.64% (1.728 1.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.05% (-1.852 -1.85)60.95% (1.849 1.85)
ADO Den Haag Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.74% (-0.61 -0.61)14.26% (0.606 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.96% (-1.197 -1.2)42.03% (1.194 1.19)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.51% (-1.15 -1.15)29.49% (1.146 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.5% (-1.425 -1.43)65.5% (1.42 1.42)
Score Analysis
    ADO Den Haag 54.29%
    Jong Ajax 23.72%
    Draw 21.98%
ADO Den HaagDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.068 0.07)
1-0 @ 8.19% (0.485 0.49)
2-0 @ 7.98% (0.305 0.31)
3-1 @ 6.32% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.18% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.86% (-0.186 -0.19)
4-1 @ 3.08% (-0.117 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.88% (-0.135 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.073 -0.07)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 54.29%
1-1 @ 10% (0.285 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 4.21% (0.335 0.34)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.98%
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.14% (0.256 0.26)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 23.72%

Head to Head
Mar 7, 2022 7pm
Jong Ajax
6-3
ADO Den Haag
Kudus (18', 41' pen., 64'), Danilo (35'), Unuvar (54', 83' pen.)
Baas (72')
Kishna (23'), Verheydt (58'), Steijn (59')
Damen (41'), Amofa (70'), Bourard (76')
Aug 8, 2021 11.15am
ADO Den Haag
2-0
Jong Ajax
Catic (51'), Verheydt (86')
Asante (8'), Kemper (90+4')