Heracles Almelo
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2022 at 7pm UK
Erve Asito
ADO Den Haag

Heracles
4 - 0
ADO Den Haag

Vejinovic (4'), Armenteros (22', 34'), Laursen (44')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Moreo Klas (55')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Heracles and ADO Den Haag.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

Last Six:
    Last Game: Heracles 1-3 SBV Excelsior
    Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

    ADO Den Haag

    Last Six:
      Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-4 SBV Excelsior (7-8 pen.)
      Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 49.38%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

      Result
      HeraclesDrawADO Den Haag
      49.38% (0.902 0.9)23.5% (-0.667 -0.67)27.13% (-0.238 -0.24)
      Both teams to score 58.71% (2.078 2.08)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      57.46% (2.829 2.83)42.54% (-2.831 -2.83)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      35.05% (2.76 2.76)64.95% (-2.762 -2.76)
      Heracles Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      82.63% (1.436 1.44)17.37% (-1.439 -1.44)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      52.22% (2.459 2.46)47.78% (-2.461 -2.46)
      ADO Den Haag Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      71.06% (1.298 1.3)28.94% (-1.301 -1.3)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      35.18% (1.581 1.58)64.82% (-1.583 -1.58)
      Score Analysis
          Heracles 49.38%
          ADO Den Haag 27.13%
          Draw 23.5%
      HeraclesDrawADO Den Haag
      2-1 @ 9.55% (0.054 0.05)
      1-0 @ 8.8% (-0.704 -0.7)
      2-0 @ 7.7% (-0.238 -0.24)
      3-1 @ 5.57% (0.283 0.28)
      3-0 @ 4.49% (0.072 0.07)
      3-2 @ 3.45% (0.292 0.29)
      4-1 @ 2.44% (0.229 0.23)
      4-0 @ 1.97% (0.119 0.12)
      4-2 @ 1.51% (0.19 0.19)
      Other @ 3.89%
      Total : 49.38%
      		1-1 @ 10.91% (-0.45 -0.45)
      2-2 @ 5.92% (0.242 0.24)
      0-0 @ 5.03% (-0.661 -0.66)
      3-3 @ 1.43% (0.166 0.17)
      Other @ 0.21%
      Total : 23.5%
      		1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.033 -0.03)
      0-1 @ 6.24% (-0.569 -0.57)
      0-2 @ 3.87% (-0.204 -0.2)
      1-3 @ 2.8% (0.086 0.09)
      2-3 @ 2.45% (0.183 0.18)
      0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.024 -0.02)
      Other @ 3.42%
      Total : 27.13%

      Head to Head
      Mar 13, 2021 5.45pm
      ADO Den Haag
      1-2
      Heracles
      Fadiga (68' og.)
      Castillo (37'), Vejinovic (58'), van Ewijk (71'), Adekanye (75'), Mokhtar (90+3'), Kramer (90+3')
      Bakis (72'), Vloet (83')
      Azzaoui (40')
      Sep 13, 2020 1.30pm
      Heracles
      2-0
      ADO Den Haag
      Vloet (48'), Van der Water (70')
      Bijleveld (68')

      Kemper (18'), Bourard (25')
      Kemper (72')
      Feb 29, 2020 5.30pm
      ADO Den Haag
      0-0
      Heracles

      Pinas (42'), Duffy (89')
      Pinas (90')

      Osman (13'), Rossmann (18')
      Nov 30, 2019 7.45pm
      Heracles
      4-0
      ADO Den Haag
      Dessers (22', 57'), Junior (39'), Merkel (65')
      Hardeveld (62'), Propper (90')
      Feb 3, 2019 3.45pm
      ADO Den Haag
      2-0
      Heracles
      Necid (79', 89')
      Hooi (62'), Beugelsdijk (72'), Necid (85')

      van Hintum (61'), Droste (68')