/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fherlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fexclog.png)
-
Sinan Bakis
28'
-
Justin Hoogma
56'
-
Siebe Horemans
43'
-
Thijs Dallinga
47'
-
Mats Wieffer
63'
-
Nikolas Agrafiotis
83'
Heracles vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F17%2F50%2Fworld-cup-general-image-football.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result
Heracles
46.54%
▼
(-0.50)
Draw
23.38%
▲
(+0.06)
SBV Excelsior
30.08%
▲
(+0.44)
Both Teams to Score:
61.34%
▲
(+0.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.96%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
40.03%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
37.6%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
62.4%
▼
(-0.01)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5
82.5%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 0.5
17.5%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 1.5
52%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 1.5
48%
▲
(+0.33)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5
74.35%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 0.5
25.65%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 1.5
39.45%
▲
(+0.39)
Under 1.5
60.54%
▼
(-0.39)
Score analysis
Heracles
46.54%
Draw
23.38%
SBV Excelsior
30.08%
Heracles
2-1
@
9.28%
▼
(-0.05)
1-0 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 46.54%
1-0 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 46.54%
Draw
1-1
@
10.64%
▲
(+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.38%
2-2 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.38%
SBV Excelsior
1-2
@
7.24%
▲
(+0.08)
0-1 @ 6.11% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 30.08%
0-1 @ 6.11% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 30.08%
Peter van Ooijen
49'