Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | Second Round | 2nd Leg

May 21, 2022 at 7pm UK

Erve Asito

Heracles
1 - 3
SBV Excelsior

(SBV Excelsior win 6-1 on aggregate)

Bakis (28')
Hoogma (56')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dallinga (47'), Wieffer (63'), Agrafiotis (83')
Horemans (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs clash between Heracles and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

Last Six:

Last Game: Heracles 1-3 SBV Excelsior
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	RKC Waalwijk	33	-13	35
14	Heracles	33	-14	34
15	Sparta Rotterdam	33	-20	32

SBV Excelsior

Last Six:

Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-4 SBV Excelsior (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	ADO Den Haag	37	26	67
5	SBV Excelsior	37	25	65
6	Roda JC	37	26	63

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Heracles	Draw	SBV Excelsior
46.54% ( -0.49)	23.38% ( 0.05)	30.08% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 61.34% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.96% (

40.03% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.6% (

62.4% (

-0)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.5% (

-0.19)

17.5% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52% (

-0.33)

48% (

0.33)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.35% (

0.28)

25.65% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.45% (

0.38)

60.54% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Heracles 46.54%

SBV Excelsior 30.08%

Draw 23.38%

Heracles	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.93% Total : 46.54%	1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.38%	1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.08%