MX23RW : Tuesday, March 19 02:15:54| >> :60:109:109:
Excelsior
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | Second Round | 1st Leg
May 18, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
 
Heracles Almelo
SBV Excelsior
3 - 0
Heracles
Azarkan (21'), Dallinga (74'), Driouech (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Schoofs (29')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie playoff clash between SBV Excelsior and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 1-3 SBV Excelsior
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-2 Heracles

While the home side will no doubt be full of confidence, we cannot ignore the fact that they have not exactly found it easy posting wins of late. With that in mind, Heracles' superior quality should prove key, and they would be more than satisfied if they establish a narrow lead before the second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 52.1%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawHeracles
52.1% (-0.835 -0.84) 23.86% (0.164 0.16) 24.04% (0.671 0.67)
Both teams to score 54.42% (0.25 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.2% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)46.8% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.94% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)69.06% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05% (-0.32599999999999 -0.33)17.95% (0.328 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.22% (-0.566 -0.57)48.78% (0.568 0.57)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.33% (0.566 0.57)33.67% (-0.565 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.67% (0.611 0.61)70.33% (-0.61 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 52.1%
    Heracles 24.04%
    Draw 23.85%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawHeracles
1-0 @ 10.38% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.92% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-1 @ 5.56% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.11% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.19% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 52.1%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.04% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.06 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.112 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.15% (0.134 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.58% (0.115 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.23% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 24.04%

How you voted: SBV Excelsior vs Heracles

SBV Excelsior
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Heracles
20.0%
5
Head to Head
May 12, 2019 1.30pm
Heracles
4-5
SBV Excelsior
Dalmau (23', 51', 59'), Duarte (62')
Rossmann (43')
Omarsson (4', 45', 91'), Mattheij (71'), Eckert (89')
Dec 22, 2018 7.45pm
Apr 18, 2018 6.45pm
SBV Excelsior
2-2
Heracles
Messaoud (7'), Van Duinen (51' pen.)
Messaoud (58'), de Wijs (93')
Monteiro (92', 94')
Droste (7')
van Ooijen (49')
Aug 26, 2017 7.45pm
Heracles
2-2
SBV Excelsior
Kuwas (15'), Gladon (52')
Propper (10')
Bruins (16'), Caenepeel (63')
Bruins (43'), Koolwijk (90')
Hadouir (90')
Feb 18, 2017 6.45pm
Heracles
4-0
SBV Excelsior
Kuwas (43'), Bruns (58'), Te Wierik (66'), Peterson (85')
Propper (59')

Mattheij (27'), Bruins (36')
Mattheij (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal28204470244664
2Liverpool28197265263964
3Manchester CityMan City28196363283563
4Aston Villa29175760421856
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs28165759421753
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd28152113939047
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham2912894650-444
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2811985044642
9Wolverhampton WanderersWolves28125114244-241
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle281241259481140
11Chelsea27116104745239
12Fulham29115134344-138
13Bournemouth2898114152-1135
14Crystal Palace2878133348-1529
15Brentford2975174154-1326
16Everton2887132939-1025
17Luton TownLuton2957174260-1822
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2967163551-1621
19Burnley2945202963-3417
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2835202474-5014

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!