Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 57.88%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 21.37% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.05%) and 0-1 (7.64%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
MVV Maastricht	Draw	SBV Excelsior
21.37%	20.75%	57.88%

Both teams to score 61.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.36%

35.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.3%

57.7%

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.2%

29.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.12%

65.88%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.81%

12.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.16%

37.84%

Score Analysis

MVV Maastricht 21.37%

SBV Excelsior 57.88%

Draw 20.75%

MVV Maastricht	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 5.6% 1-0 @ 4.4% 2-0 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.38% 3-1 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.99% Total : 21.37%	1-1 @ 9.26% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 3.63% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.75%	1-2 @ 9.74% 0-2 @ 8.05% 0-1 @ 7.64% 1-3 @ 6.83% 0-3 @ 5.64% 2-3 @ 4.14% 1-4 @ 3.6% 0-4 @ 2.97% 2-4 @ 2.18% 1-5 @ 1.51% 0-5 @ 1.25% 2-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.42% Total : 57.88%