Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
MVV Maastricht	Draw	Jong FC Utrecht
36.26%	24.43%	39.32%

Both teams to score 59.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57%

43.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.6%

65.41%

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.55%

23.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.54%

57.47%

Jong FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.12%

21.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.87%

55.14%

Score Analysis

MVV Maastricht 36.26%

Jong FC Utrecht 39.32%

Draw 24.42%

MVV Maastricht	Draw	Jong FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 8.2% 1-0 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 5.4% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 3.01% 3-0 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.16% Total : 36.26%	1-1 @ 11.3% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.42%	1-2 @ 8.59% 0-1 @ 7.8% 0-2 @ 5.93% 1-3 @ 4.35% 2-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 3% 1-4 @ 1.65% 2-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.51% Total : 39.32%