Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Jong FC Utrecht	Draw	NAC Breda
31.41%	23.56%	45.03%

Both teams to score 61.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.8%

40.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.43%

62.57%

Jong FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.1%

24.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.49%

59.51%

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.84%

18.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.85%

49.15%

Score Analysis

Jong FC Utrecht 31.41%

NAC Breda 45.03%

Draw 23.55%

Jong FC Utrecht	Draw	NAC Breda
2-1 @ 7.46% 1-0 @ 6.29% 2-0 @ 4.37% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.41%	1-1 @ 10.72% 2-2 @ 6.36% 0-0 @ 4.52% 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.55%	1-2 @ 9.15% 0-1 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 6.58% 1-3 @ 5.2% 0-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 3.62% 1-4 @ 2.22% 0-4 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.68% Total : 45.03%