Jong Utrecht
0 - 1
SBV Excelsior

Ikeshita (17')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Niemeijer (18')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong FC Utrecht and SBV Excelsior.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 51.37%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
Jong FC Utrecht	Draw	SBV Excelsior
26.13%	22.49%	51.37%

Both teams to score 61.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.33%

38.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.03%

60.97%

Jong FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.36%

27.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.82%

63.18%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.77%

15.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.11%

43.89%

Score Analysis

Jong FC Utrecht 26.13%

SBV Excelsior 51.37%

Draw 22.49%

Jong FC Utrecht	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 6.55% 1-0 @ 5.41% 2-0 @ 3.48% 3-1 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 1.49% 4-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.84% Total : 26.13%	1-1 @ 10.18% 2-2 @ 6.16% 0-0 @ 4.21% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.49%	1-2 @ 9.59% 0-1 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 7.45% 1-3 @ 6.01% 0-3 @ 4.68% 2-3 @ 3.87% 1-4 @ 2.83% 0-4 @ 2.2% 2-4 @ 1.82% 1-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.94% Total : 51.37%