Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and De Graafschap.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 24.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 24.96% | 23.44% | 51.59% |
| Both teams to score 56.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.9% | 44.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.52% | 66.48% |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.56% | 31.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.18% | 67.82% |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.87% | 17.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.64% | 47.36% |
| Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior 24.96%
De Graafschap 51.59%
Draw 23.44%
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 6.36% 1-0 @ 6.23% 2-0 @ 3.61% 3-1 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.75% Total : 24.96% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 5.61% 0-0 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-1 @ 9.5% 0-2 @ 8.38% 1-3 @ 5.7% 0-3 @ 4.93% 2-3 @ 3.3% 1-4 @ 2.52% 0-4 @ 2.17% 2-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.93% Total : 51.59% |
How you voted: SBV Excelsior vs De Graafschap
SBV Excelsior
57.1%Draw
28.6%De Graafschap
14.3%7


