Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.

Result
Jong FC Utrecht	Draw	VVV-Venlo
31.02%	24.03%	44.95%

Both teams to score 59.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.38%

42.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.97%

65.02%

Jong FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.67%

26.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.54%

61.46%

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.83%

19.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.17%

50.83%

Score Analysis

Jong FC Utrecht 31.02%

VVV-Venlo 44.95%

Draw 24.03%

Jong FC Utrecht	Draw	VVV-Venlo
2-1 @ 7.42% 1-0 @ 6.73% 2-0 @ 4.49% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.32% Total : 31.02%	1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.03%	1-2 @ 9.19% 0-1 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 6.89% 1-3 @ 5.06% 0-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 3.38% 1-4 @ 2.09% 0-4 @ 1.57% 2-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.26% Total : 44.95%