Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Helmond Sport.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-4 SBV Excelsior (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | ADO Den Haag | 37 | 26 | 67 |
| 5 | SBV Excelsior | 37 | 25 | 65 |
| 6 | Roda JC | 37 | 26 | 63 |
Last Game: Helmond 1-1 Den Bosch
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | MVV Maastricht | 37 | -33 | 37 |
| 19 | Telstar | 37 | -26 | 35 |
| 20 | Helmond Sport | 37 | -33 | 27 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 71.63%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 11.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 71.63% | 16.84% | 11.52% |
| Both teams to score 52.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.39% | 36.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.23% | 58.76% |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91% | 8.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.34% | 30.66% |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.63% | 42.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.25% | 78.75% |
| Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior 71.63%
Helmond Sport 11.52%
Draw 16.84%
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 2-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 9.49% 1-0 @ 9.18% 3-0 @ 8.88% 3-1 @ 7.62% 4-0 @ 5.35% 4-1 @ 4.59% 3-2 @ 3.27% 5-0 @ 2.58% 5-1 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.97% 6-0 @ 1.03% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.46% Total : 71.63% | 1-1 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 4.08% 0-0 @ 3.81% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.84% | 1-2 @ 3.39% 0-1 @ 3.27% 0-2 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.17% 1-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.32% Total : 11.52% |
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2021 7pm
Helmond
1-5
SBV Excelsior
Van Landschoot (68')
Horemans (5'), Niemeijer (17'), Dallinga (55', 58', 82')
Mar 28, 2021 1.30pm
SBV Excelsior
0-3
Helmond
Van der Sluys (59'), Thomassen (86'), Van Keilegom (89')
Nov 13, 2020 5.45pm
Helmond
2-1
SBV Excelsior
Mar Omarsson (90+4')
Feb 7, 2020 7pm
Helmond
1-4
SBV Excelsior
Werkhoven (80')
Joppen (23'), van der Vorst (46')
Joppen (23'), van der Vorst (46')
Aug 30, 2019 7pm
SBV Excelsior
3-1
Helmond
Snepvangers (28')
Poelmans (61'), de Louw (64'), Swinnen (87')
Poelmans (61'), de Louw (64'), Swinnen (87')
Form Guide


