Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Roda JC.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 37.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.85%) and 0-2 (5.42%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Roda JC |
| 37.65% | 23.68% | 38.66% |
| Both teams to score 62.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.72% | 39.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.38% | 61.62% |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.94% | 21.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.13% | 53.87% |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.42% | 20.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.89% | 53.1% |
| Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior 37.65%
Roda JC 38.66%
Draw 23.68%
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Roda JC |
| 2-1 @ 8.31% 1-0 @ 6.75% 2-0 @ 5.26% 3-1 @ 4.32% 3-2 @ 3.41% 3-0 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-2 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.8% Total : 37.65% | 1-1 @ 10.67% 2-2 @ 6.57% 0-0 @ 4.33% 3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-1 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 5.42% 1-3 @ 4.45% 2-3 @ 3.46% 0-3 @ 2.86% 1-4 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.94% Total : 38.66% |


