Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs clash between ADO Den Haag and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
We said: ADO Den Haag 1-0 SBV Excelsior
Den Haag are a real force to reckon with on home turf, as they currently boast an eight-game home unbeaten run, winning five of those matches. We are backing them to emerge triumphant on Sunday and book their place in the 2022-23 Eredivisie season.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 54.34%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.