MX23RW : Sunday, June 26 08:21:38| >> :60:150:150:
May 29, 2022 at 5pm UK at Cars Jeans Stadion
ADO Den Haag
4 - 4
SBV Excelsior
Verheydt (34'), Pires (40'), Steijn (47'), Komljenovic (97')
Amofa (29'), Moreo Klas (42'), Steijn (43'), Asante (65'), Pires (96')
Asante (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Azarkan (79'), Niemeijer (83'), Dallinga (90+3'), El Yaakoubi (108')
Wieffer (32')
Chacon (90+2')
SBV Excelsior win 8-7 on penalties
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs clash between ADO Den Haag and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: ADO Den Haag 1-0 SBV Excelsior

Den Haag are a real force to reckon with on home turf, as they currently boast an eight-game home unbeaten run, winning five of those matches. We are backing them to emerge triumphant on Sunday and book their place in the 2022-23 Eredivisie season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 54.34%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
ADO Den HaagDrawSBV Excelsior
54.34% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 22.12% (0.012 0.01) 23.53% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 59.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.48% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)39.52% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.13% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)61.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
ADO Den Haag Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.45% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)14.54% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.41% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)42.58% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (0.022000000000006 0.02)30.13% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.72% (0.028999999999996 0.03)66.27% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    ADO Den Haag 54.34%
    SBV Excelsior 23.53%
    Draw 22.12%
ADO Den HaagDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.45%
2-0 @ 8.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 3.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.52% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 54.34%
1-1 @ 10.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.12%
1-2 @ 6.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 23.53%

How you voted: ADO Den Haag vs SBV Excelsior

ADO Den Haag
63.6%
Draw
27.3%
SBV Excelsior
9.1%
22
Head to Head
May 24, 2022 7pm
Jan 25, 2022 7pm
SBV Excelsior
2-3
ADO Den Haag
Niemeijer (40'), Driouech (86')
Eijgenraam (45+3')
Bourard (19'), Steijn (36'), Verheydt (58')
Breinburg (54')
Oct 22, 2021 7pm
ADO Den Haag
0-2
SBV Excelsior

Moreo Klas (30'), Kemper (34')
Amofa (52' og.), El Yaakoubi (82')
Horemans (86')
Apr 25, 2019 5.30pm
Sep 1, 2018 6.45pm
SBV Excelsior
2-4
ADO Den Haag
Anderson (70'), Mahmudov (72')
Anderson (54')
El Khayati (21' pen., 45', 65', 69')
Hooi (25'), Immers (47'), Meijers (82')

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