Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 26.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-0 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
MVV Maastricht	Draw	ADO Den Haag
26.34% ( -0.01)	24.79% ( -0)	48.86% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 53.71% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.17% (

0.01)

48.83% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.07% (

0.01)

70.93% (

-0.01)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.15% (

-0)

32.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.58%

69.42% (

-0)

ADO Den Haag Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.98% (

0.01)

20.02% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.78% (

0.01)

52.21% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

MVV Maastricht 26.34%

ADO Den Haag 48.86%

Draw 24.79%

MVV Maastricht	Draw	ADO Den Haag
1-0 @ 7.32% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.55% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.07% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 1.96% 3-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.49% Total : 26.34%	1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.79%	0-1 @ 10.57% 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.51% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.08% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.56% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 48.86%