Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.

Result
Roda JC	Draw	VVV-Venlo
49.52% ( -0.15)	23.23% ( -0.01)	27.24% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 59.74% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.77% (

0.18)

41.23% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.37% (

0.18)

63.62% (

-0.18)

Roda JC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.17% (

0.01)

16.83% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.19% (

0.02)

46.81% (

-0.02)

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.82% (

0.21)

28.17% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.13% (

0.27)

63.86% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Roda JC 49.52%

VVV-Venlo 27.24%

Draw 23.23%

Roda JC	Draw	VVV-Venlo
2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.16% Total : 49.52%	1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.23%	1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 27.24%