Heracles Almelo
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 9, 2022 at 7pm UK
Polman Stadion
VVV-Venlo

Heracles
5 - 3
VVV-Venlo

Ouahim (25', 55'), Laursen (28'), Schoofs (61'), Mokono (81')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Huisman (41'), Venema (47'), de Boer (68')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Heracles and VVV-Venlo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

Last Six:
Last Game: Jong Ajax 4-0 Heracles
Monday, September 5 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

VVV-Venlo

Last Six:
Last Game: VVV-Venlo 2-1 Jong Utrecht
Friday, September 2 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 57.11%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 21.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawVVV-Venlo
57.11% (-0.385 -0.38)21.4% (0.242 0.24)21.48% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 59.42% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.38% (-0.959 -0.96)38.62% (0.959 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.07% (-1.019 -1.02)60.92% (1.02 1.02)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.62% (-0.42700000000001 -0.43)13.38% (0.428 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.71% (-0.866 -0.87)40.28% (0.865 0.87)
VVV-Venlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59% (-0.417 -0.42)31.4% (0.416 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (-0.48500000000001 -0.49)67.78% (0.486 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 57.11%
    VVV-Venlo 21.48%
    Draw 21.4%
HeraclesDrawVVV-Venlo
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.5% (0.117 0.12)
1-0 @ 8.45% (0.248 0.25)
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.32% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.87% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.34% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 57.11%
1-1 @ 9.79% (0.178 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.2% (0.188 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.4%
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.038 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.87% (0.164 0.16)
0-2 @ 2.82% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 21.48%

Head to Head
May 1, 2021 3.30pm
Heracles
4-0
VVV-Venlo
Bakis (35', 55', 83' pen.), Vloet (44')
Knoester (49')

Swinkels (82')
Nov 7, 2020 5.45pm
VVV-Venlo
3-2
Heracles
Arias (51'), Van Crooy (67'), Giakoumakis (88')
Post (31'), van Crooy (37')
Van der Water (38'), Vloet (78' pen.)
Szoke (45+2')
Feb 14, 2020 7pm
VVV-Venlo
1-0
Heracles
Post (21')
Janssen (90')

Propper (5'), Breukers (76'), Cijntje (90')
Nov 9, 2019 7.45pm
Heracles
6-1
VVV-Venlo
Merkel (23'), Van der Water (41'), Dessers (56', 64', 82'), Junior (60')
van der Water (5'), Propper (74')
Van Ooijen (74')
Neudecker (14'), Janssen (33')
Feb 22, 2019 7pm
VVV-Venlo
0-1
Heracles

Rutten (39'), Roseler (82')
Mohammed (83' pen.)
Konings (6'), Mohammed (55'), van den Buijs (71'), Peterson (88')
rhs 2.0


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